Estimated revenue losses for hotels are as follows:
Taj Mahal Hotel:
South Mumbai average room rate, or ARR, is at Rs 12,349
Suite rate at USD 600-800 per day
Occupancy rate is at 60%
Capacity: 292 rooms + 20 executive suites
Therefore, the minimum revenue loss is seen at Rs 85-90 crore over one-year
Oberoi Trident:
South Mumbai ARR at Rs 13,900
Suite rate at USD 900-1000 per day
Occupancy rate at 63%
Capacity: 333 rooms + 22 executive suites
Therefore, the minimum revenue loss seen at Rs 120-130 crore over one-year
Asset destruction is likely to be higher in Taj as the hotel was a heritage structure. Both the hotels are understood to have taken terrorism cover, fire insurance, and loss of profit as add-on policies. Taj is insured jointly by Tata AIG (65%), ICICI Lombard (30%), and Iffco Tokio (5%). While Trident is insured by United India.
Hotel outlook going forward:
The terror attacks are likely to have long-term implications. Occupancies already fell by 2% in Q2. Sources expect tariffs to fall by at least another 5-10% almost immediately. Capacity utilization will be high during winter. Post the terror attacks, the industry feels occupancy rates could fall to 70-80%. Mumbai and Delhi together offer about 30,000 rooms and nearly 60-65% hotels rooms are occupied by business travelers in Mumbai and Delhi.
Thursday, December 4, 2008
Tariffs to fall another 5-10% post terror attacks
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